Volume 23 Issue 1, 2008

Managing tsunami risk in coastal communities: Identifying predictors of preparedness

Douglas Paton, J. Horan, Steven Meinhold, Penny Larin, David McIvor, Liesel .A. Ritchie, Duane A. Gill, Chris E. Gregg, Bruce F. Houghton, David M. Johnston.

Peer-reviewed Article

Archived Article


This paper discusses the testing of a model predicting tsunami preparedness. Using data collected from a community identified as facing a high risk from locally-generated tsunami, the model illustrates how people’s beliefs about the efficacy of mitigation interact with social context factors (community participation, collective efficacy, empowerment, trust) to influence levels of tsunami preparedness. The implications of the findings for tsunami hazard education programs are discussed.